Latest Industry Trends News
Fed Cuts Rates by 25 bps to 3.50-3.75% Amid Dovish Projections
The Federal Reserve reduced the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.50-3.75%, marking its third cut in 2025, with updated forecasts showing higher 2025 GDP growth and lower core PCE inflation toward 2%. Dissent among officials highlighted debates on inflation risks from tariffs and labor market softening.
Markets anticipate data-dependent future moves amid resilient consumer spending and AI-driven investment.
BIS Warns of 'Double Bubble' in Stocks and Gold
The Bank for International Settlements cautions of simultaneous bubbles in equities, led by tech/AI, and gold, up 60% in 2025, breaking parabolic trends since 2022. Defensive sectors like utilities and staples appear oversold and resilient amid volatility risks.
Gold recommended as a hedge, not core growth driver.
India's Growth Forecast Upgraded to 7.2% by ADB
The Asian Development Bank raised India's FY26 GDP forecast to 7.2% due to robust consumption, low retail inflation at 0.71%, and tax cut benefits. This contrasts global stagnation, positioning India as a high-growth outlier amid tariff challenges elsewhere.
EU accelerates India-EU FTA talks to boost sluggish demand.
BOJ Expected to Hike Rates to 0.75% Despite Recession Risks
Japan's central bank is projected to raise short-term rates to 0.75% in December 2025 to combat inflation at 3.0% and yen weakness, with further hikes to 1% by 2026 anticipated. New stimulus includes Β₯18.3 trillion budget for AI, shipbuilding, and energy subsidies amid rising 10-year JGB yields.
This tightens policy as carry trades unwind.
China's Export Surge Masks Domestic Demand Collapse
China posts record trade surplus via 'defensive' exports to EU amid US tariffs, but faces industrial deflation with producer prices at -2.2%. Inflation remains anemic at 0.7%, signaling weak internal consumption.
Factories divert goods to non-aligned markets as US shipments shrink.
UK Economy Grows Tepidly at 1.1%, Trade Deficit Quadruples
UK GDP rose 1.1% in October, missing forecasts, with trade deficit widening to Β£4.82 billion due to slowing output and competitiveness loss. This 'twin drag' prompts EU pivot to external trade deals like India FTA.
Growth engines sputter across Europe.
Silver Prices Rocket Past $60 on Industrial Demand
Silver surges beyond $60, driven by 2025 tariffs weakening USD, disrupting supply chains, and boosting demand in solar, EV infrastructure, and data centers through 2030. Analysts forecast continued rise from strengthening industrial use.
EV sales concerns noted but offset by infrastructure trends.
Thailand Central Bank to Cut Rates Amid Q3 Contraction
Thailand's bank is set to cut benchmark to 1.25% as Q3 GDP contracted -0.6% q/q, double consensus, with CPI deflation at -0.5% y/y and soft tourism. Core inflation at 0.7% supports easing.
Last cut was in August.
ECB Cuts Deposit Rate to 2.00% as Inflation Eases
European Central Bank lowered deposit rate to 2.00% in June, projecting 2.0% inflation for 2025 from weaker energy and stronger euro, though core at 2.4%. Data-dependent stance amid trade tensions.
Responds to sputtering growth in Europe/UK.
Russia Central Bank Eyes Rate Cut to 16% or Lower
Russia's central bank expected to cut key rate by 50-100 bps to 16% as inflation falls to 6.6% y/y from 10% peak, core at 6.1%. Easing supported by recent data trends.
Decision due Friday.
US Labor Market Softens, Supports Fed's Cautious Cuts
Hiring slowed, unemployment at 4.4%, but layoffs low; consumer/business sentiment mixed amid tariff-driven goods inflation. Fed views growth pickup from resilient spending and AI/data center investments.
Baseline: 2% growth, 4% unemployment long-term.
Gold and Equities in Parabolic Ascent, Defensive Sectors Oversold
US equities hit records on tech/AI momentum; gold up 60% in strongest year since 1979. Utilities, real estate, materials oversold; technology neutral.
Commodities as buffer recommended.