
Latest Finance-Economy News
IMF warns Middle East war is lifting oil prices and inflation
The IMF said higher oil prices from the Middle East war are creating renewed headline inflation pressure and delaying the U.S. return to the 2% target until late 2027. It also said global oil inventories are being drawn down rapidly, raising fuel-security and resilience risks.
IMF says global oil inventories are being depleted at a record pace
In a joint statement referenced by the IMF, the agency said inventories are falling quickly after a major supply loss through the Strait of Hormuz. The IMF said strategic and commercial stocks, which were above 8 billion barrels before the war, are expected to fall to a five-year low of about 7.5 billion barrels in July.
WTO consultations on U.S. tariff notifications move forward
The IMF said WTO members agreed to proceed with consultations on U.S. tariff notifications after a May 5 Balance of Payments Committee meeting. The Fund said it will participate by providing a macroeconomic statement on the U.S. balance-of-payments position.
Argentina posts consecutive primary fiscal surpluses
The IMF said Argentina has achieved consecutive primary fiscal surpluses for the first time in nearly two decades, while cutting the fiscal deficit by about 5 percentage points of GDP. It credited reforms in fiscal policy, trade, and labor markets for supporting a more open, market-based economy.
U.S. Treasury yields ease slightly as markets await more direction
Market commentary on June 4 said the 10-year Treasury yield dipped by about two basis points, but remained near 4.5%. The move was described as modest, indicating only a small relief rally rather than a major shift in rates sentiment.
Crude oil slips as geopolitical risk premium eases slightly
Market commentary said crude fell by about $2 as traders reacted to signs of progress between Lebanon and Israel. The move suggested some reduction in the immediate risk premium, though oil remained highly sensitive to Middle East developments.
Dollar stays firm while global investor sentiment improves modestly
A June 4 market discussion said the dollar remained relatively steady even as global investor sentiment improved. It also suggested longer-term dollar weakness could persist, but that the near-term tone was being driven by war-related volatility.