US PPI surges to 1.4% MoM, highest in years, amid hot inflation; S&P hits record; Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair; yields spike; inflation regime shift fears.
1
US PPI Surges 1.4% MoM in April, Triple Consensus Estimate
Producer prices jumped 1.4% month-on-month, nearly triple the 0.5% consensus, with core PPI at 1.0% and annual at 6.0%, the highest since 2022. This confirms energy shock contaminating the producer pipeline.
2
S&P 500 Closes at Record 7,444.25 Despite Inflation Spike
The index rose 0.58% as chip stocks rebounded and six of seven Mag 7 names gained, showing AI-driven earnings overriding hot inflation data. Futures point to further gains pre-bell.
3
Kevin Warsh Confirmed as Fed Chair in Party-Line Senate Vote
Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new Federal Reserve Chair. Boston Fed’s Collins indicated a rate hike could be possible amid rising inflation pressures.
4
30-Year Treasury Yield Tops 5.05% in Weak Auction
The 30-year bond auction cleared at 5.050%, up 17bp from prior, crossing 5% for first time since May 2025. 10-year yield hit 4.473%, highest since July 2025.
5
EIA Reports Larger-Than-Expected Crude Oil Draw of 4.3M Barrels
Crude inventories fell by 4.3 million barrels, exceeding the 2.0M consensus draw, supporting energy prices amid inflation concerns.
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Analysts Warn of New Inflation Regime Under Warsh Leadership
Post-pandemic framework shifts to structurally higher inflation phase, with breakevens rising: 5Y from 2.445% to 2.72%, 10Y to 2.5%, 30Y to 2.3%. Fed may remove easing bias in June.
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S&P Futures Up 0.3%, Dow Futures Climb 0.7% Pre-Bell
Wall Street eyes gains as S&P and Nasdaq hit records yesterday; Dow futures lead early move amid Trump-Xi talks mention. Nasdaq futures +0.2%.
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EZ Employment Grows 0.1% QoQ, Offsetting French Unemployment Rise
Eurozone employment edged up 0.1% quarter-on-quarter, matching minimal expectations but barely countering French jobless shock. ECB's Lane and Lagarde commented.
9
German Current Account Surplus Widens to 23.6 Billion Euros
Germany's surplus increased from 20.5 billion, signaling stronger trade amid global tensions. Contributes to positive EZ data backdrop.
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US Mortgage Applications Rise 1.7%, Rates at 6.46%
Applications increased week-on-week with purchase index at 177.7, despite elevated 30-year MBA rates ticking to 6.46%. Reflects resilient housing demand.
With CPI approaching 4% and no 2% target hit in five years, market-based inflation measures rise, implying Fed policy too loose. Signals potential policy shift.