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📅February 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM
Supreme Court strikes down Trump's tariffs while he vows 10% global levy; oil prices surge on Iran tensions; US economy slows to 1.4% growth.
1

Supreme Court Invalidates Trump's Emergency Tariffs

The U.S. Supreme Court ruled 6-3 on Friday that President Trump's sweeping tariffs imposed under emergency powers law exceeded his executive authoritySource 2. The decision struck down tariffs that had been heavily burdening metals, vehicles, and electronics sectorsSource 3. Markets rebounded following the ruling, with the STOXX 600 reaching an all-time highSource 2.

2

Trump Announces New 10% Global Tariff Despite Court Setback

President Trump responded to the Supreme Court ruling by announcing he would immediately impose a new 10% global tariff under Section 122, separate from existing dutiesSource 7. He also stated that national security tariffs under Section 232 and existing 301 tariffs remain fully in effectSource 7. Trump indicated he would pursue additional investigations and tariff measures using alternative legal authoritiesSource 7.

3

Mid-Sized US Businesses Triple Tariff Payments in Past Year

According to new research from the JPMorgan Chase Institute, tariffs paid by mid-sized American businesses tripled over the past yearSource 4. These companies, with revenues between $10 million and $1 billion, collectively employ around 48 million people in the United StatesSource 4. The research also showed payments to China by midsize firms dropped 20% since October 2024, though it remains unclear whether sourcing has genuinely diversifiedSource 4.

4

US Economy Decelerates to 1.4% Growth in Q4 2025

The U.S. Commerce Department released advance figures showing the U.S. economy grew at a sharply decelerated 1.4% on a quarterly annualized basis in the fourth quarter of 2025Source 2. Economists attributed some of this weakness to the impact of tariffs on economic activitySource 2. The slower-than-expected growth marked a significant pullback from previous quartersSource 2.

5

Oil Prices Surge Amid Iran Tensions and Military Buildup

Oil prices surged to six-month highs as President Trump set a 15-day deadline for Iran to reach a nuclear deal, with markets pricing in potential U.S. military actionSource 1. Crude prices remained elevated as markets expected U.S. military action against Iran would not occur until the following weekSource 2. U.S. crude settled at $66.39 per barrel while Brent reached $71.76 per barrelSource 2.

6

Asia Markets Mixed as Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on Sentiment

Asian equity markets fell on Friday, with the Asia Pacific index down 0.4% as geopolitical tensions over Iran impacted investor sentimentSource 1. Hong Kong returned to trading after the Lunar New Year holiday but showed a moderately cautious sessionSource 1. The KOSPI continued to outperform other regional indicesSource 1.

7

Global Stock Markets Rally Following Tariff Court Decision

Global markets gained following the Supreme Court's tariff ruling, with MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rising 0.55% to 1,052.94Source 2. Canada's S&P/TSX composite index climbed 222.53 points to 33,817.51, lifted by technology stocksSource 2. European stocks reached record levels with the STOXX 600 and FTSEurofirst 300 both gaining 0.84%Source 2.

8

Tariff Removal Creates Uncertainty Over Refund Obligations

Following the Supreme Court decision, firms are aggressively seeking refunds on tariffs paid in 2025, which has large revenue effects and uncertain distributional consequencesSource 3. Questions remain about what new tariffs Trump will impose and whether territories that entered deals with the U.S. will see those pacts reopened for reviewSource 5. Analysts expect another period of activity-limiting confusion as Trump pursues alternative tariff authoritiesSource 5.

9

Cryptocurrencies Gain on Market Optimism Following Tariff Ruling

Bitcoin gained 1.16% to $67,690.43 following the Supreme Court's tariff decision, while Ethereum rose 1.09% to $1,969.21Source 2. The cryptocurrency market benefited from broader investor optimism over the court's decision to limit Trump's tariff authoritySource 2.

10

Long-Run Tariff Policy Projects $1 Trillion in Revenue Despite Economic Slowdown

Despite the Supreme Court ruling, remaining tariffs in effect as of February 20, 2026 are projected to raise approximately $1.2 trillion over 2026-35, with net dynamic revenue reaching about $1 trillion after accounting for slower economic growthSource 3. Metal products, electronics, and vehicles face the largest price increases from current tariff policiesSource 3. If the Court had ruled differently, apparel and food products would have faced heavier burdensSource 3.

11

AI Boom Continues Supporting Semiconductor Demand and Growth Expectations

Despite broader economic slowdowns, artificial intelligence remains a key driver of 2026 growth expectations, creating strong demand for high-end chips and data centersSource 1. The semiconductor-related story continues to support market sentiment even as geopolitical risks weigh on Asian marketsSource 1.